December 1, 2024

WTC Scenarios: South Africa Continue Ascendancy, England Dent New Zealand's Progress

Current Standings

Pos	Team	Matches	Won	Lost	Drawn	Points	PCT
1	India	15	9	5	1	110	61.11
2	South Africa	9	5	3	1	64	59.26
3	Australia	13	8	4	1	90	57.69
4	New Zealand	12	6	6	0	72	50.00
5	Sri Lanka	10	5	5	0	60	50.00
6	England	20	10	9	1	105	43.75
7	Pakistan	10	4	6	0	40	33.33
8	West Indies	10	2	6	2	32	26.67
9	Bangladesh	11	3	8	0	33	25.00

India: To qualify for the final, India need to win the Border Gavaskar Trophy by 5-0, 4-0, 4-1, or 3-0. If they go 3-2 down, they need several other results to go their way.
Australia: Five wins (65.79) or four wins and a draw (62.28) will confirm their top-two finish. If India win the Border Gavaskar Trophy 3-2, Australia can still finish ahead of the two time finalists' PCT of 58.77.
South Africa: With four consecutive wins in the ongoing cycle and three home games to follow, South Africa are currently the favourites to lock a berth in the final of WTC 2023-2025. Two wins and a draw will take them to 63.89, which can only be bettered by one of India and Australia.
Sri Lanka: Sri Lanka's best chance is to win each of their remaining three Tests and take their PCT to 61.53, which will help them qualify automatically. Two wins and a draw will take them to 56.41, leaving them delicately placed.
New Zealand: A possible set of scenarios for the Blackcaps, if they finish at 57.14, can be:
- The calculations have been made assuming the teams don't lose out on points for slow over-rate, which could prove to be crucial in the eventual standings.

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